RESOURCE LIBRARY

Everything you need

to make an informed decision

Fifteen years of thinking and research about trend-following and the value it can bring to investors who embrace it.

Why Hold a Melissinos Investment

If you read only one thing before a conversation with us, make it this. It explains the portfolio problem we solve, who benefits from this strategy, and what genuine diversification actually looks like in practice — not in theory.

15+

Years live track record

~0

Correlation to S&P 500

25%

EGT’s Internal Capital

SECTION 01

Essays

Short thoughts, specifically for investors that are new to trend-following.

Many people think you need to be able to see the future to make money in the markets. We don’t.

An optimist may hold a loser too long, while a pessimist may exit a winner too early or not get in at all. Balancing both is a must.

Fundamental investors and trend-followers think very differently. Here are some examples.

Even during strong performance periods, the swings can be substantial — especially emotionally.

Keeping your wits about you during a losing streak is vital to capitalize on the next set of trends.

section 02

Longer Papers

In-depth topics on trend-following, how it works in real life.

An inside look at the historical path through major drawdowns over 40+ years of trend-following history. What happened, recovery time and what the pattern reveals about the strategy’s dynamics in difficult markets.

The 80/20 of trend-following’s return profile. Why capturing a few very large winners while accepting frequent small losses is how the strategy works, and why it’s a feature not a bug.

A presentation Mike gave to a group of financial professionals. Building a strategy to look like the past is dangerous, and leaves lots of potential opportunity on the table.

A practical analysis of how trend-following approaches bubble conditions. How it captures moves without predicting and manages the inevitable reversal through strict rules.

section 03

Interviews

Why Mike started the firm, the basics of his strategy and lessons he’s learned along the way.

Dec 2025 · 71 min

 This conversation dives into trend following as a rule-based way to survive chaotic markets.

May 2024 · 38 min

A deep conversation on process, patience and why systematic beats discretion over the long run. We cover portfolio construction, drawdown psychology and more.

May 2015 · 40 min

An early conversation covering the origins of EGT and Mike’s motivation for ditching Wall Street for trend-following.

Talking Trends Podcast

Michael hosts a podcast about all things trend-following and markets.

If anything here resonated, the next step is a direct conversation.

The first conversation is with Mike directly. A real discussion about your portfolio, your goals and whether this strategy fits with your situation. 

Website Notice

The information on this website is for informational purposes only. Visitors assume all responsibility and risk for use of this site. If you detect any omissions, misstatements, or errors, please contact us immediately. All content may be revised or withdrawn at any time without notice and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or part of any contract. By using this site, you agree to be bound by such revisions. This website does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or investment products. No information may be copied, transmitted, or shared without prior written consent of Melissinos Trading.

A complete description of the principal risk factors, fees, and expenses applicable to any investment managed by Melissinos Trading is provided in the firm’s Disclosure Document. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Futures trading is speculative and involves substantial risk of loss.

Summary Risk Disclosure Statement

THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITIES CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE AVAILABLE IN COMMODITY TRADING CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. LEVERAGE CAN QUICKLY LEAD TO LARGE LOSSES AS WELL AS LARGE GAINS. MANAGED COMMODITY ACCOUNTS MAY BE SUBJECT TO SUBSTANTIAL CHARGES FOR MANAGEMENT AND ADVISORY FEES. THESE ACCOUNTS MAY NEED TO GENERATE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS TO AVOID DEPLETION OF ASSETS.

The Disclosure Document contains a complete description of principal risks and fees. It is readily accessible on this website, and you may also request a hard copy at no cost. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) requires that prospective clients of a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) receive a Disclosure Document when solicited to enter into a trading agreement. The CFTC has not approved or passed upon the merits of participating in any program offered by Melissinos Trading or the adequacy or accuracy of this website.

This brief statement cannot disclose all risks. Please review the Disclosure Document before investing.

Terms and Conditions

To use this site, you must accept the Terms of Use (the “Terms”). Please review them carefully. We reserve the right to amend these Terms at any time. These Terms were last modified on December 31, 2024.

By clicking the “I ACCEPT AND ACKNOWLEDGE” button, you confirm that you have read and agree to these Terms, and have reviewed or had the opportunity to review the Disclosure Document.