Investing Strategy

Eupatrid Global Trends

  • Adaptive trend-following strategy focused on preserving capital, capitalizing on major trends across the globe
  • 13+ years of providing attractive returns with low correlation to key asset classes
  • Systematic, rules-based and repeatable investment process
 

Our Approach

Eupatrid Global Trends (EGT), our flagship trading program, aims to deliver aggressive absolute returns. It does not follow or strive to mimic any benchmark or index. In our ever-evolving world, industries come and go, new markets spring up while others fade out, governments grow into and out of power, etc. We try to capitalize on the trends that emerge from these major tectonic shifts.

A key feature of EGT is its ability to perform well during equity bear markets, as well as other unpredictable chaotic periods. Our investors typically hold traditional portfolios of stocks, bonds and real-estate, so they appreciate the value EGT brings.

The core tenets:

  • Trend-Following. EGT focuses on exploiting trends by analyzing price data. It does not consider the fundamentals. It attempts to identify significant inflection points where momentum will increase and persist over the long run. The majority of our profits stem from a very few but very large trends. We typically hold positions for over a year.
  • Global Access to Trends. Currently, our portfolio universe includes +150 markets across all asset-classes (commodities, interest rates, currencies, etc). [details]
  • Strict Risk Control. EGT uses proprietary risk control techniques that are designed to limit losses and let profits run. In general, it takes more risk in markets favoring trends and less in those that do not. It monitors market conditions (trend strength, correlation, volatility & sentiment) and adjusts exposure accordingly. We make lots of small bets, limiting the risk to a small percentage of capital per trade. Risk limits are imposed on individual positions, sectors and the portfolio overall. [details]
  • Non-Optimized or Curve Fit. We do not optimize our trading techniques for any specific market environment. We only utilize time-tested principles. This, we believe, enhances our odds of long-term success but at the expense of near-term volatility — a good trade as far as we’re concerned.
  • Aggressive. EGT seeks above-average long-term returns. It does not adhere to a benchmark. The near-term volatility can be significant at times, so an investment in EGT is not appropriate for everyone.

Benefits of Investing with Us

Performance Update

October 2024 5-Year Annual Return* Correlation to EGT
Eupatrid Global Trends -9.5% -5.2% 5.8% -
Equities -0.9% 20.4% 13.7% 0.04
Bonds -3.3% -3.3% -3.2% -0.05
Managed Futures -3.2% -0.7% 5.1% 0.64

An investment with Melissinos Trading is for sophisticated investors who are able to bear a substantial or entire loss of their investment. Before seeking our services, please read the investment documents. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of market environments are favorable and unfavorable for EGT?

Favorable conditions are when market prices are moving strongly either up or down in persistent manner. Unfavorable conditions are the exact opposite — when prices are moving in a sideways whipsaw-like manner. Good Markets: #1, #2, #3. Bad Markets: #1, #2, #3.

All investments experience extremely rough performance periods. A few recent examples: Inflation/rising rates (’22), PIIGS sovereign debt crisis (’11), Financial Crisis (’08-09) and Dot-Com Bust (’00-03) and the 1990 Recession. Relying on one highly correlated investment to provide all of your investing performance is risky. EGT can help provide similar equity-like returns but without the risk of a left-tail painful outlier loss.

We take risk very seriously. We are strict with our core capital, but liberal with our profits. Because we allow room for our winners to run, the volatility can sometimes become extreme. This is expected and by design. On average, we risk less than 0.50% of our capital on any individual trade. This, on top of having pre-determined exit points for each position, keeps us away from experiencing a catastrophic loss.

Our philosophy has not changed. We’re trend-followers to the core. Our tactics have evolved a bit, however. We’ve learned a lot over the past 13+ years. Namely, how to increase the odds of not missing opportunities, how to make returns more consistent, how to decrease the likelihood of a large drawdown without sacrificing upside and how to reduce the effect of costly short-term noise. We believe the current iteration of our approach is more robust and reliable than it was in our early years.

DISCLOSURES

Past Performance Is Not Necessarily Indicative of Future Results.

* Performance through Oct-2024. Net of all fees and expenses (performance does not reflect the performance of any one account, but rather a combination of the historical performance of multiple accounts and portfolios). Asset Classes: Equities (S&P 500 TR), Bonds (US 10Y Note), Commodities (GSCI TR), Hedge Funds (HFRX HF Index) and Managed Futures (Soc Gen CTA Index). Alternative investments, including those offered by Melissinos Trading, are speculative, involve substantial risk, and are not suitable for all investors. Before seeking our services, please thoroughly examine our investment documents.

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